A video on Twitter showed a huge crowd at the Alpha Gamma Ro Fraternity House for Donald Trump.
Huge crowd at the Alpha Gamma Ro Fraternity House for President @realDonaldTrump! 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/gLeyZ1WpTd
— Margo Martin (@margomartin) September 9, 2023
CNN fact-checker Daniel Dale examined former President Donald Trump’s claim that his support among Black voters had quadrupled or quintupled since his mugshot was released. Trump made this assertion during an interview with Hugh Hewitt, implying that his support among the Black community had significantly increased.
Dale investigated this claim and found that Trump’s assertion was not supported by the available polling data. Dale identified five post-mugshot polls that included data on Black respondents. In one of these polls, Trump’s support among Black voters had actually declined compared to polls taken before the release of the mugshot. In the remaining four polls, Trump did see increases in support, but these increases were very small and fell within the margin of error. The increases ranged from three to six points, indicating that they could be attributed to statistical noise rather than a substantial shift in support.
Dale emphasized that even if there had been a genuine increase in Trump’s support among Black voters, it could be influenced by various factors, such as gas prices or international events like the war in Ukraine. There was no evidence to suggest that Black voters were responding enthusiastically to the existence of Trump’s mugshot.
In summary, Dale’s fact-checking analysis concluded that Trump’s claim about a significant increase in Black voter support since his mugshot was released did not align with the available polling data.
